The the last in this series of logical fallacies focuses on the mistakes we all make when making decisions and weighing information.
Ignoring evidenced gained by a scientific approach in favour of firsthand stories or anecdotes.
Example: “My grandfather smoked 40 cigarettes per day, and he lived until he was 100, so why should I stop smoking?”
Assuming that the beliefs or characteristics of an individual apply to the entire group
Example: “The recent terrorist attacks were carried out by Islamic groups. Therefore all Muslims must be terrorists.”
Conversely, assuming that the beliefs of a group apply to an individual member
Example: “Many Conservatives don’t believe in evolution, he’s a conservative, so he must also be a creationist.”
Assuming that because something is explained or visualised in a positive way, it must be truer.
The assumption that the history of outcomes will affect future outcomes.
Example: “The roulette wheel has landed on Black 5 times in a row, I’m going to bet on Red because it’s bound to be read now.”
Drawing a conclusion from a narrow sample group.
Example: “I was almost hit today by two middle-aged women, women are terrible drivers.”
Jumping to Conclusions
Coming to a conclusion without considering all the evidence and possibilities.
Example: “He said he was working late, but I know he wasn’t in the office. He must be cheating on me”
Assuming that because two opposing arguments are valid, that the truth will be found in some middle ground.
Example: “I think the car is worth £1,000, but you think it’s worth £5,000, so let’s meet in the middle at £3,000.”
Only valuing perfection and rejecting any solution which is less than perfect.
Example: “What’s the point in introducing stricter gun control, criminals will still be able to get hold of guns anyway?”
Rejecting a claim or idea because of a belief that the truth is relative.
Example: “That might be true for you, but it isn’t for me.”
Applying a general rule too widely.
Example: “These boys are disruptive because they were raised by single mothers.”
Assuming that because two things share characteristics that they are the same thing.
Example: “A scientific theory can be unproven. Evolution is a theory; therefore, evolution is an unproven idea.”